Elasticity
- We have no covered how much demand and supply changes when any factors, including price of the product changes.
- This is where the concept of elasticity comes in, which is:
- A numerical estimate
- It measures the response to a change in price or any other factors that determine the demand and supply of a product
- Elasticity explains things like:
- The price of a summer holiday in May or June is around 2/3rds of the price it is in August
- The demand for some products increases more than others when real disposable income increases
- It is often difficult for suppliers to respond quickly when there is a surge in demand for their products.
Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)
- PED measures how responsive the quantity demanded of a product is to a change in its price
- All other factors that affect demand are assumed to remain unchanged
- Mathematically, it is no more than the gradient of the demand curve
- For example, supposed a tour operator sells 5,000 holidays a month to Ibiza for a price of £400.
- When the price is increased to £440, the demand falls to 4,000 holidays per month
- So:
- This estimate of -2 indicates that the demand for holidays to Majorca is responsive to a change in the price of these holidays
- This is known as a price elastic of price sensitive situation
- The negative sign just shows that the quantity demanded has fallen as a result of the increase in price
- Not all products we buy are very responsive to a change in their price
- For example, if the price of household water were to increase by 10%, demand would hardly fall – maybe by 1%
- This would produce an estimate of PED to be -0.1
- This is price inelastic or price insensitive, meaning that the quantity demanded is not particularly responsive to a change in its price
- For example, if the price of household water were to increase by 10%, demand would hardly fall – maybe by 1%
- If PED > 1 – elastic
- If PED < 1 – inelastic
- If PED = 1 – unit PED (change in price causes a proportional change in demand)
- Variations in PED lead us to ask the question: ‘What determines the price elasticity of demand for a product or group of products?’
- There are three main determinants:
- The availability and closeness of the substitutes
- The relative exposure of the product with respect to income
- Time
- We know that a substitute is an alternative to a particular product
- In general, the greater the number of substitutes and the greater their closeness to a given product, then such a product is likely to be price elastic
- An example is baked beans
- There are many brands that are similar to each other, and so a rise in the price of one brand would result in a steep fall in demand, as more consumers would be buying other brands
- An example is baked beans
- If a product takes up a very small percentage of a consumer’s income (e.g. a banana) – the doubling in price wouldn’t affect the quantity demanded that much –it’d be price inelastic
- The reverse is true
- If a product takes up a large part of a person’s income, then its demand would be more sensitive to a change in price – it’d be price elastic
- Time also plays a part, as it takes a while for consumers to change their spending habits
- As a result, they are quite likely to continue to purchase a product despite a price increase
- Over time, however, as consumers find out more about other substitutes, demand for a product is likely to become more price elastic.
- Also, where consumption of a product can be delayed (new car, new kitchen), demand for that product is likely to be price elastic.
Income Elasticity of Demand (YED)
- The sign is important, as it indicates whether there is an increase or decrease in the quantity demanded following a change in income
- Most products have a positive YED – these are called normal goods
- This means that as real disposable income increases, demand for these products will also increase
- g. holidays, wine, clothes, electronics, etc.
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- The extent of the response of demand to the change in income can vary.
- Two examples are:
- Where the estimate of income elasticity of demand is < 1 –income inelastic
- Where income elasticity of demand (YED) is > 1 – income elastic
- Some goods have a very large income elasticity of demand – these are called superior goods
- Demand for them increases considerably more in relation to the change in income
- Definitive examples are hard to list, as it is subjective.
- What is a normal good for one person could be a superior good to a person on lower income
- Examples of inferior goods are own-brand supermarket products, second hand goods, coach travel, etc.
- Better substitutes are available, but for a family on low income, such alternatives are out of their reach.
Cross Elasticity of Demand (XED)
- XED is derived from what was previously stated – that the price of substitutes and complements can affect the demand for a particular product
- It measures the relationship between two different products, so the sign and size of the XED are relevant
- A positive estimate indicates that the two products are substitutes
- A negative estimate means that they are complements
- A zero estimate means that there is no particular relationship
- The size of the XED indicates the strength of the relationship between a change in the price of one product and the change in demand for another product
- Where products are good or close substitutes, the value of the XED will be higher than if they are only modest substitutes.
- Similarly, for the complements, a high value of XED is indicative of products with a high degree of complementarity.
Price Elasticity of Supply
- Price Elasticity of Supply (PES) is the supply equivalent of PED
- PES indicates how much additional supply a producer is willing to provide for the market following a change in the price of the product
- Given that the supplier wants to maximise profits, it follows that the PES will always be positive
- Obviously, if the price falls, it would be unusual for the supplier to produce more goods for the market in a free market solution
- The size of the PES is therefore very important, and can take the following values:
- Between 0 and 1
- This means that the PES is inelastic
- Supply is not very responsive to a change in the price of the product
- Greater than 1
- PES if elastic
- Producers are able to respond with a relatively large change in supply if price rises
- Equal to 1
- A change in price causes an exactly proportional change in the quantity supplied
- Between 0 and 1
- In practise, suppliers are not always able to respond to a change in price with the same speed as consumers
- This is because for most products, it takes time for producers to alter their production schedules in response to market need, unless they can draw upon stocks.
- For farmers, this time lag could be as much as a year – the time it takes to alter the mix of their production
- Large parts of the service sector face a rather different supply issue.
- In the long term, the supply of their products is more elastic than in the short term
- In the case of hotel or air-craft, supply is perishable as the product can’t be stored
- If a hotel room is not sold on a particular night, this represents a loss to the business.
- So there are three main factors that determine the PES of a product:
- Availability of stocks of the product
- Availability of factors of production
- Time period
- Stocks or inventory allow supplies to store products in a warehouse
- This relates to elasticity of supply as they can be quickly distributed if demand increases and henceforth price
- Equally, if price falls, goods can be stored, depending on how perishable they are
- For example, supermarkets like ASDA carry a certain amount of ‘buffer stock’, which can be released if market conditions change
- For service sector businesses like hotels, supply is infinitely inelastic since the product cannot be stored, it has to be consumed on a particular day or time period otherwise it is lost.
- With regards to the factors of production and its effect on PES, labour is usually the most available.
- Provided there is spare capacity, additional works can be used to increase output, often in a short time span
- Here, elasticity of supply is relatively elastic
- For some businesses, it is the availability of capital that determines whether a firm can increase output
- When new machinery has to be purchased and installed, the elasticity of supply will be inelastic
- The risk is that market conditions may change before any increased production can reach the market
- With regards to time, where it takes a long time for supply to be adjusted, supply will be inelastic
- In the longer term, however, supply will normally be more price elastic
- An example is travel companies – they have to reserve flights up to a year in advance for some consumers – making supply price inelastic
- The problem companies then face is if demand is low, they are left with unsold holidays
- Price will therefore have to fall in order to clear excess supply
Business Relevance of Elasticity Estimates
- Elasticity measure have considerable practical business relevance
- For example, knowledge of PED is an essential input when a firm is generating a pricing strategy which enables them to maximise sales revenue.
- But how might this data be collected and what are the general limitations of elasticity data?
- All elasticity measures require information to be collected at two separate points in time
- The formulas make this clear by indicating that ‘change’ is being measured
- The information can be collected by means of:
- Sample surveys of consumers (price and YED)
- Past records from within a company (PES)
- Competitor analysis (XED)
- Given the nature of how the data is collected, it is necessary to appreciate that:
- The data gathered will be estimates, since the data collected might be inaccurate
- Over time, there could be other factors that aren’t in the forecast that affect the demand of supply of a product
- Prices may fall due to this, which produces an unfair elasticity estimate
Use of PED
- PED is widely used by businesses when pricing their products in the market
- It is evident in the transport market where the market’s segmented on a time basis
- In applying market knowledge of PED, companies are pursuing an objective of maximising revenue
- Companies are aware that where demand is inelastic, an increase in price leads to an increase in total revenue.
- The business situation in both graphs is clearly beneficial, as revenue increases
- What is not beneficial is for a firm to reduce prises if demand is inelastic or to increase prices where demand’s elastic
Use of Income Elasticity of Demand
- In most economies, real disposable income tends to rise over time
- This is significant to businesses that produce goods and services because with a highly positive YED can expect to do well in the future
- Oppositely, firms producing goods with a negative YED might do badly
- An exception to this is where a business changes the image of a product so that YED becomes position
- Upmarket baked beans and spam are examples, as they’re not marketed as superior, but used to be inferior products
- In economies such as the UK, where living standards continue to increase, there has been a growth in markets in the service sector, such as overseas holidays, eating out and health spas.
- So these types of businesses would seem to have good business prospects in the long term
- Estimates of YED can provide a basis for forecasting market demand
- When economies force uncertain short term economic prospects, then demand for income elastic products will fall
- This is because consumers are forced to substitute their demands towards inferior goods and services
- Products with a low YED are unlikely to be affected by a rise or fall in living standards
Use of Cross Elasticity of Demand
- Estimates for XED are useful in competitive markets
- Where there are close substitutes, and hence a high positive XED with other products, then the firm are likely to cut prices to increase market share
- This occurs in practise between:
- Low cost airlines, train and bus companies on identical routes
- Well known brands of identical grocery or electronic products
- Products such as wine and butter that are produced in different companies but are virtually the same
- In such cases, there are close substitutes
- Increasing prices is dangerous, as you can lose market share to a rival, which is difficult to regain
- The case of compliments also has implications for firms
- This is because the price of two complimentary goods may not be close
- Here, XED will be high and negative
Use of Price Elasticity of Supply
- PES is always positive – it shows the affect of the relationship between price and quantity supplied
- In many types of business, supply is price inelastic in the short term, as it is often difficult to switch resources into a market
- An exception to this is firms that hold onto stocks in anticipation of a price rise
- In the long term, however, supply is more likely to be price elastic as resources can be re-allocated to respond to the increase in market price
- In general, firms will try to make their supply as elastic as possible, as they want to increase sales to maximise profits
- If prices are falling, an elastic supply will enable them to move resources away from such products and into alternatives where there’s a normal relationship between a change in price and the change in quantity supplied.